Sunday, November 23, 2014
A poor Skaffold Quality Score, no forecasts, erratic trading and now a Friday evening market announcement declaring the loss of a sizeable contract with South Australia Country Hospitals.
This case study serves to underline the importance of Skaffold’s quality and performance ratings, and determining a company’s spread of clients, with a view to setting aside stocks with an overreliance on a small number of customers or revenue streams.
Monday, November 10, 2014
Whilst a newcomer to the market with a limited track record, Pioneer Credit (PNC) is a similar style of business and carries a similar Skaffold stock rating to Collection House (CLH).
The company has mainly traded in line with its IPO price of $1.60 since listing, but gained considerable support in August/September after delivering a strong full-year result. On a P/E basis, PNC is broadly in line with Collection House.
However, based on 2015-16 projections Pioneer appears to be a far better proposition with forecast intrinsic value growth of 33 per cent driven by earnings per share increasing from 15 cents to 20 cents over the next 12 months.
Monday, November 03, 2014
Collection House (ASX:CLH) provides debt collection services and receivables management to some of Australia’s largest companies, particularly those in the banking and financial services sector.
While Collection House’s balance sheet is rated A its business performance rating of only 4 (poor) suggests it may be a stock to steer clear of.
However, its compelling quality rating is underpinned by some very impressive metrics (and managements consistent guidance), suggests the stock may be worth considering as a turnaround proposition with the potential for its business performance rating to improve.
Tuesday, April 15, 2014
Healthcare represents less than one per cent of the ASX, one of the world’s most dynamic growth sectors.
That’s why most Aussie healthcare stocks trade at what’s known as a ‘scarcity premium’.
Encompassing healthcare facilities, drug and biotechnology stocks, and medical equipment suppliers and manufacturers, the overall quality and performance of Australian healthcare stocks is impressive. Half of the top 10 achieved Skaffold’s preferred stock ratings of A1, A2, B1 and B2 based on their latest financial reports.
Despite a recent sell off, which has seen share prices of the top 10 fall, on average, 3% since late February, safety margins continue to be high, ranging between -15 and -75 per cent.
With the ‘scarcity premium’ enshrouding local healthcare stocks, we went in search of better healthcare value stocks offshore and found 6 standouts.
Monday, March 24, 2014
If you take the 170-odd stocks that Skaffold currents rates as investment grade (A1, A2, B1 and B2) and then filter those with both a positive safety margin – trading at a discount to their intrinsic value – that are also forecast to grow their intrinsic value, we’re left with only a handful of stock to invest in. All things considered, these are the best quality companies that value investors could justifiably contemplate buying at current levels.
However, it’s important to remember that the share market is a constantly moving feast, and that companies can move in and out of investment grade status, as measured by the Skaffold Score, each reporting season due to any number of macro influences and company specific dynamics.
So with that in mind, we decided to go in search of companies that could potentially be knocking on the door of investment grade status if their fortunes continue to improve.
Friday, February 14, 2014
New opportunities were thin on the ground this week, with the majority of companies to report experiencing deteriorating Skaffold Scores. Many stocks also continue to trade at large premiums to Skaffold’s intrinsic value estimates.
After 6 years of membership in Skaffold’s premium group of companies, Domino’s Pizza Enterprises (DMP) has declined to B3.
This is a great example of Skaffold’s ability to demystify company results and present the facts of the case, so to speak.
Wednesday, March 06, 2013
CMI Limited (CMI) has rejoined the A1 club. Competitor ARB Corp (ARP) is also rated A1 by Skaffold. Whilst ARB’s business model is focused on the manufacture and distribution of 4x4 accessories for recreational 4WD vehicles, CMI’s expands beyond 4WD accessories to include specialist cabling and electrical products for a range of industry sectors that includes light commercial and heavy transport vehicles. Unfortunately both companies are trading at prices higher than Skaffold’s intrinsic value estimate.
Tuesday, February 26, 2013
Over the weekend more than 70 companies updated in Skaffold. The number of A1-rated companies fell to 39, and A2-rated companies to 81 companies.
Companies to update based on their recent interim or full year results include include Breville Group (BRG), mining services business Sedgman (SDM), for casino operators Crown Group (CWN) and Echo Entertainment Group (EGP), BHP Billition (BHP), Fortescue Metals Group (FMG), Iluka Resources (ILU), Cabcharge (CAB), Fleetwood (FWD), Fantastic Holdings (FAN), Village Roadshow (VRL), Adelaide Brighton (ABC), Alumina (AWC), Goodman Group (GMG), APN News and Media (APN), Tatts Group (TTS), Infomedia (IFM), Data#3 (DTL), Ausenco (AAX), Magellan Financial Group (MFG), Insurance Australia Group (IAG), AMP Limited (AMP), Seven West Media (SWM), iiNet (IIN), Macquarie Radio Network (MRN), Fairfax Media (FXJ), Envestra (ENV), Brambles (BXB), Chandler Macleod Group (CMG), Austin Engineering (ANG), Codan (CDA), The Reject Shop (TRS) and NRW Holdings (NWH), Platinum Asset Management (PTM), Mermaid Marine (MRM), Australian Share Registry (ASW), Super Retail Group (SUL), Amalgamated Holdings (AHC), TCT Tomlinson (RCR), Servcorp (SRV), SEEK (SEK), ASX Limited (ASX) and Origin Energy (ORG).
Thursday, February 14, 2013
The big news to flow through Skaffold overnight is JB Hi-Fi’s (JBH) interim results. The company reported store sales up 3.1%, NPAT up 3.0% and an interim fully franked dividend of 50 cents per share. News Corp (NWS), AMP Limited (AMP), Australand Property Group (ALZ), DWS Ltd (DWS), Hills Holdings (HIL), MGM Wireless (MWR), Carnavale Resources (CAV), Global Health (GLH), Aquarius Platinum (AQP), BPH Energy (BPH), Coffey International (COF) and Mesoblast (MSB) have also updated to reflect their latest financial results.
Monday, February 04, 2013
Reporting season on the ASX has kicked off with a handful of companies having released their full year or interim results.
Full year results have been released for Energy Resources of Australia (ERA) and Australian Agricultural Company Limited (AAC). Both companies recorded significant losses on their P&L resulting in a decline in Skaffold Scores.